Seasonality Analysis

Elegant Bar
Product Seasonality

Conversion patterns by product type — identifying peak demand windows and low seasons.
Elegant Bar May 2025 - Apr 2026 15 Product Types Google Ads Conversions
Overview

Key Metrics

Product Types
15
With ad spend in period
Total Conversions
214
12-month total
Peak Month
Jan
Index: 2.06
Low Month
Jul
Index: 0.45

Overall Monthly Conversion Index

1.00 = average month | Above = peak demand | Below = low season

May
0.73
Jun
0.84
Jul
0.45
Aug
0.56
Sep
0.79
Oct
0.56
Nov
0.84
Dec
1.29
Jan
2.06
Feb
1.91
Mar
0.84
Apr
1.12
Trends

Top 7 Products — Monthly Conversions

Revenue

Monthly Cost vs Revenue

Demand vs Sales

Search Demand vs Our Conversions

Google Keyword Planner monthly search volume for each product type's own search terms, indexed against our conversion seasonality. Both lines are indexes where 1.00 = that line's own average month, so they share one scale. Demand says when the market is looking. Conversions say when we sold. Where they disagree, demand is the larger sample.

Our conversions (index) Search demand (index) 1.00 = average month All panels share one 0–5 scale
smoke eater
AGREES r=0.34
42 conv · $94.7k · 7 of 10 terms · 9,540 searches/mo
demand peaks Dec 1.39, Jan 1.32 conv peaks Apr 2.00, Feb 1.71
air purifier
AGREES r=0.52
53 conv · $78.1k · 16 of 17 terms (1 folded) · 587k searches/mo
demand peaks Jan 1.24, Nov 1.16 conv peaks Jan 3.12, Feb 2.73
humidor
CONFLICTS r=-0.23
27 conv · $70.1k · 7 of 11 terms · 40k searches/mo
demand peaks Dec 1.22, Jan 1.21 conv peaks Jun 2.63, May 2.19
walk in humidors
CONFLICTS r=-0.20
28 conv · $60.7k · 3 of 5 terms · 1,450 searches/mo
demand peaks Sep 1.27, Jan 1.11 conv peaks Feb 4.27, Jan 2.14
humidifier
AGREES r=0.37
43 conv · $47.1k · 10 of 10 terms · 364k searches/mo
demand peaks Jan 1.83, Dec 1.78 conv peaks Jan 1.96, Jul 1.40
desktop humidor
AGREES r=0.55
10 conv · $10.8k · 6 of 6 terms · 5,200 searches/mo
demand peaks Dec 1.40, Sep 1.23 conv peaks Dec 3.60, Jan 2.40
cigar cabinet humidors
THIN DATA
2 conv · $6.3k · 9 of 10 terms · 8,700 searches/mo
demand peaks Dec 1.16, Sep 1.10 conversion line omitted · 2 conv is too few to shape a season
armoire humidor
THIN DATA
1 conv · $1.1k · 1 of 3 terms · 10 searches/mo
demand peaks Sep 1.71, Jun 1.14 conversion line omitted · 1 conv is too few to shape a season
ro filter
THIN DATA
1 conv · $0.4k · 3 of 5 terms (2 folded) · 208k searches/mo
demand peaks Mar 1.37, Jan 1.14 conversion line omitted · 1 conv is too few to shape a season
cigar lockers
THIN DATA
1 conv · $0.2k · 1 of 4 terms · 110 searches/mo
demand peaks Mar 1.17, May 1.12 conversion line omitted · 1 conv is too few to shape a season
display humidor
THIN DATA
0 conv · $0.0k · 3 of 5 terms · 170 searches/mo
demand peaks Sep 1.69, Aug 1.22 conversion line omitted · 0 conv is too few to shape a season

No Keyword Planner data for cigar punch, cigar stand, draw tools. Every seed term returned zero volume, which is Google's tobacco-keyword restriction on Keyword Planner rather than genuine low demand. These types cannot be measured this way.

Panels marked THIN DATA have under 10 conversions in the window, so their conversion line is drawn from one or two orders rather than a season. It is left off the chart and only the demand line is shown. A single conversion in a 12‑month window produces an index of 12.00, which is arithmetic, not seasonality.

Read the two lines together: the demand line is far flatter than the conversion line in almost every panel. Search interest moves within roughly 0.6–2.0 while our conversions swing from 0 to 4×. Most of what the conversion curve calls a season is order lumpiness on a small base, so where the two disagree the demand line is built on the larger sample.

Seasonality

Conversion Heatmap

Sorted by average monthly conversion value (descending) | Index: 1.00 = average month | Green = above average | Red = below average

Product Type Avg/Mo MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr Pattern
smoke eater$7.9k0.570.290.290.291.140.860.861.441.431.711.142.00SEASONAL
air purifier$6.5k0.230.450.000.231.140.910.681.373.122.730.700.45HIGHLY SEASONAL
humidor$5.8k2.192.630.000.880.440.441.311.310.880.441.060.44HIGHLY SEASONAL
walk in humidors$5.1k0.000.860.430.000.000.010.860.432.144.271.291.72HIGHLY SEASONAL
humidifier$3.9k0.840.841.401.400.840.280.851.391.960.840.001.39SEASONAL
humidors$9694.380.000.000.000.000.002.190.000.000.005.430.00HIGHLY SEASONAL
desktop humidor$9040.000.001.201.201.201.200.003.602.401.200.000.00HIGHLY SEASONAL
cigar cabinet humidors$5270.006.020.000.000.000.000.000.005.980.000.000.00HIGHLY SEASONAL
armoire humidor$940.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0012.000.000.00HIGHLY SEASONAL
ro filter$330.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0012.00HIGHLY SEASONAL
cigar lockers$130.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0012.000.000.000.00HIGHLY SEASONAL
cigar punch$00.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00STEADY
cigar stand$00.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00STEADY
display humidor$00.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00STEADY
draw tools$00.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00STEADY
Demand Table

Search Demand Index by Month

Keyword Planner search volume, United States · Jul 2024 - Jun 2026 | Index: 1.00 = average month | Green = above average | Red = below average | Swing = max − min. Volumes are de‑duplicated: Keyword Planner returns folded close variants under separate names.

Product Type Searches/mo MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr Swing
smoke eater9,5400.720.700.960.920.801.031.281.391.321.071.010.800.69
air purifier586,5800.930.890.930.930.940.991.161.091.240.931.050.920.35
humidor40,0200.890.841.041.021.101.021.071.221.210.830.890.860.39
walk in humidors1,4500.940.861.060.961.270.960.981.011.110.941.000.890.41
humidifier364,0000.640.580.720.660.780.941.301.781.831.170.900.691.25
desktop humidor5,2000.900.951.030.881.230.871.181.401.020.790.880.870.61
cigar cabinet humidors8,7000.980.970.860.961.100.960.991.161.060.961.020.980.30
armoire humidor100.571.141.140.571.711.141.141.140.570.571.141.141.14
ro filter208,4001.000.841.000.900.970.930.950.881.140.931.371.100.53
cigar lockers1101.121.020.711.120.920.920.820.921.021.121.171.120.46
display humidor1701.030.901.201.221.690.840.960.661.050.810.910.741.03
Detail

Product Performance & Seasonality

Product Type Cost Conversions Conv Value ROAS Pattern Peak Months Trough Months
air purifier $21,668 52.8 $78,091 3.60x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Jan (3.12), Feb (2.73), Dec (1.37) Jul (0.00), Aug (0.23), May (0.23)
humidifier $12,688 43.0 $47,064 3.71x SEASONAL Jan (1.96), Jul (1.40), Aug (1.40) Mar (0.00), Oct (0.28)
smoke eater $20,979 42.1 $94,715 4.51x SEASONAL Apr (2.00), Feb (1.71), Dec (1.44) Aug (0.29), Jul (0.29), Jun (0.29)
walk in humidors $4,488 28.1 $60,657 13.51x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Feb (4.27), Jan (2.14), Apr (1.72) Sep (0.00), Aug (0.00), May (0.00)
humidor $12,169 27.4 $70,135 5.76x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Jun (2.63), May (2.19), Nov (1.31) Jul (0.00), Apr (0.44), Feb (0.44)
desktop humidor $1,382 10.0 $10,846 7.85x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Dec (3.60), Jan (2.40), Jul (1.20) Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Nov (0.00)
humidors $550 5.5 $11,628 21.14x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Mar (5.43), May (4.38), Nov (2.19) Apr (0.00), Feb (0.00), Jan (0.00)
cigar cabinet humidors $1,317 2.0 $6,320 4.80x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Jun (6.02), Jan (5.98) Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00)
armoire humidor $4 1.0 $1,125 284.09x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Feb (12.00) Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Jan (0.00)
cigar lockers $741 1.0 $157 0.21x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Jan (12.00) Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00)
ro filter $824 1.0 $395 0.48x HIGHLY_SEASONAL Apr (12.00) Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00), Jan (0.00)
cigar punch $1 0.0 $0 0.00x STEADY Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00)
cigar stand $10 0.0 $0 0.00x STEADY Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00)
display humidor $6 0.0 $0 0.00x STEADY Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00)
draw tools $6 0.0 $0 0.00x STEADY Apr (0.00), Mar (0.00), Feb (0.00)
Insights

Key Findings

cigar punch — Year-Round Anchor
cigar punch drives 0 conversions with a steady pattern (range: 0.00). This is a reliable year-round performer requiring consistent investment.
armoire humidor — Extreme Seasonality
armoire humidor shows the most dramatic seasonal swing (range: 12.00), peaking in Feb. Budget should follow this curve aggressively.
cigar lockers — Strong Seasonal Pattern
cigar lockers peaks in Jan with 1 conversions. This product type benefits from seasonal budget shifts.
humidifier — Moderate Seasonality
humidifier has 43 conversions with noticeable seasonal patterns, peaking in Jan, Jul, Aug. Worth adjusting bids seasonally.
Jan is the Peak Month (2.06x)
Overall conversions peak in Jan at 2.06x average. Ensure budgets are uncapped and bids are competitive heading into this period.
Jul is the Lowest Month (0.45x)
Conversions dip to 0.45x average in Jul. Consider tightening ROAS targets or shifting budget to higher-performing months.